This alert expired on 1 July 2026 at 23:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 104 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 15 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 1 at 6:44PM EDT until July 1 at 7:30PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY
An estimated 1,098,920 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 9 March 2026
- August 3, 2026 · score 52 · 3.2 km
- July 4, 2026 · score 52 · 4.8 km
- March 10, 2026 · score 52 · 7.5 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 78% |
| Coordinates | 43.0844, -78.7467 |
| Nearest City | East Amherst (8 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.1M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-01T22:44:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fbac8ebc83234605df655e2925f3f277 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Erie, NY; Niagara, NY |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 1 at 6:44PM EDT until July 1 at 7:30PM EDT by NWS Buffalo NY |
| Expires | 2026-07-01T19:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Buffalo NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fbac8ebc83234605df655e2925f3f277d2aedfae.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f6e2f79f6c50fdff497528709a473f98af6143ee.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near East Amherst?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near East Amherst (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.